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      01-08-2020, 10:01 AM   #16
mkoesel
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Drives: No BMW for now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ///M TOWN View Post
Then Mercedes will wipe the floor with BMW.
They may indeed, but I don't know that it will be because of Froehlich's estimation for ICE phase-out. Will Mercedes stop producing combustion engines much sooner than this? Possibly. But I'll bet they won't go on record promising such a thing at this time. PHEVs are likely to have quite a run.

Is this completely unreasonable?

~2030: All passenger cars and light trucks are PHEV or EV (Still need combustion engines)
~2040: All passenger cars and light trucks are EV (Still need combustion engines)
~2050: All heavy trucks and specialty vehicles are EV (including FCEV) (Combustion engines gone)

If it is, then what, exactly, is a reasonable timeline?

Quote:
He must be in denial.

What an idiot.
It's possible. If so, he'll simply move the timeline or get bounced.
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